State Of REITs: Distress Brings Opportunity (Copy)

  • Among the top-performing property sectors this year, the Data Center REIT rebound has been fueled by reports of "booming" demand for artificial intelligence ("AI") focused data center chips.

  • Even before the Nvidia report, Data Center REITs were on the upswing in early 2023 after an impressive slate of earnings results showed improved pricing power and record-high occupancy rates.

  • Ironically, this AI-wave comes just as Data Center REITs became a trendy “short” idea centered on a thesis of weak pricing power and competition from the "hyperscalers" - Amazon, Google, and Microsoft.

  • A confluence of development bottlenecks - power shortages, higher cost of capital, supply chain constraints, ecopolitics, and NIMBYism - have created a more favorable dynamic and swung the pendulum of pricing power towards existing property owners.

  • Barriers to supply growth combined with AI-accelerated demand should bring some sustained pricing power to a sector long-burdened by near-unlimited supply. With negotiating power tilting back towards landlords, there appears to be enough economic value to be shared.

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