Housing Recession Is Over?

  • U.S. equity markets finished mixed this week as investors weighed a solid start to earnings season against a mixed slate of economic data and a drumbeat of hawkish Fed commentary.

  • Real estate equities were among the leaders this week, buoyed by signs of stability in commercial real estate lending markets and data indicating a Spring revival across residential markets.

  • D.R. Horton - the nation's largest single-family homebuilder - surged more than 8% on the week after topping earnings and revenue expectations and providing strong full-year 2023 guidance.

  • A trio of "beat and raise" reports from industrial REITs - Prologis, Rexford, and First Industrial - showed that demand for well-located logistics space continues to significantly outstrip supply.

  • Results from a pair of office REITs this week showed that conditions for well-capitalized public REITs aren't nearly as dire as conditions faced by their more-highly-levered private market peers.

U.S. equity markets finished mixed this past week as investors weighed a solid start to corporate earnings season against a mixed slate of economic data and a drumbeat of hawkish Fed commentary. Approaching the quarter-way point of earnings season, nearly 80% of S&P 500 components have topped EPS estimates thus far - highlighted this week by solid results from several multinationals and regional banks along with the nation's largest homebuilder - with a prevailing theme of normalizing cost headwinds and stabilizing supply chains amid a broader cooling of inflationary pressures.

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REIT Earnings • Blackstone Dividend Cut • Homebuilders Lead